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Trader who nailed GBP rise to 1.36 reveals why 95.8% Fed cut odds spell opportunity

Reading time: 2 min • Aug 14, 2025, 10:56 AM (UTC)

Key Points

  • U.S. Consumer Price Index falls to 2.7%, increasing the like...

The U.S. Consumer Price Index dropped to 2.7% on August 12, missing the expected 2.8% – and suddenly everyone's acting like the Federal Reserve chairman personally delivered them a gift basket. Markets are now pricing in a whopping 95.8% chance of a September rate cut, which is about as certain as finding someone complaining about their internet speed.

This inflation miss has been kryptonite for the dollar, and the British Pound is absolutely loving it. GBP/USD is currently strutting around the 1.36 level like it owns the place, riding the wave of what traders are calling a "strong post-CPI b...

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