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Government shutdown odds hit 82% - here's what traders need to know

Reading time: 2 min • Sep 28, 2025, 04:37 AM (UTC)

Key Points

  • Prediction markets see an 82% chance of a government shutdow...

Prediction markets are pricing in an 82% chance of a government shutdown after September 30, and frankly, that's about as certain as finding someone complaining about airline food. The fiscal year ends Monday, Congress is playing its favorite game of chicken, and over two million federal employees are about to become unwilling participants in the world's least fun unpaid internship program.

When Uncle Sam Goes Broke (Again)

Here's the math that should make every trader pay attention: federal employees represent roughly 1.2% of GDP, and when they stop getting paychecks, consumer spending ...

While we have taken every measure to build an AI pipeline that generates credible and accuracte news, we still encourage you to conduct your own research before making investment decisions. InsAIght's content should not be considered professional financial or trading advice.



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