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Fed traders betting 92.1% on September rate cut - here's what it means for your currency plays

Reading time: 2 min • Aug 6, 2025, 12:16 AM (UTC)

Key Points

  • The Federal Reserve is highly likely to cut rates in Septemb...

The Federal Reserve might cut rates in September with a whopping 92.1% probability according to market betting odds. That's higher confidence than most people have in their morning coffee order, and it's sending some serious ripples through the EUR/USD and CAD currency markets.

Why such certainty? Recent labor market data has been about as inspiring as a soggy sandwich, plus Trump just fired a top labor official on August 5th. Nothing says "economic confidence" quite like administrative musical chairs during uncertain times.

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